Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.558093 1.800635 2.063144 2.367704 2.710625 3.084082 3.520837
2024-10-20 1.123662 1.443901 1.822345 2.299534 2.881857 3.565863 4.426284
2024-10-27 0.878390 1.240411 1.702507 2.328266 3.145129 4.165985 5.527598
2024-11-03 0.705077 1.084461 1.603249 2.351076 3.385453 4.747513 6.654717
2024-11-10 0.571522 0.951404 1.504656 2.348218 3.576202 5.268390 7.738739
2024-11-17 0.461840 0.828940 1.396227 2.307317 3.696833 5.691436 8.713106
2024-11-24 0.375197 0.723863 1.293825 2.254729 3.784416 6.063300 9.632556
2024-12-01 0.319135 0.657917 1.240744 2.266981 3.963793 6.575052 10.784557
2024-12-08 0.268831 0.591712 1.175611 2.247744 4.085642 7.001950 11.831737
2024-12-15 0.238835 0.557461 1.159763 2.307082 4.336450 7.642403 13.244864
2024-12-22 0.206910 0.512846 1.117732 2.313213 4.494534 8.141198 14.461489
2024-12-29 0.190854 0.498256 1.129874 2.417767 4.829836 8.950129 16.225358
2025-01-05 0.171838 0.474681 1.123291 2.490655 5.123271 9.723327 18.005023
2025-01-12 0.146474 0.431200 1.069893 2.466781 5.238654 10.202476 19.328155
2025-01-19 0.130803 0.407858 1.055621 2.519211 5.501325 10.957022 21.170283
2025-01-26 0.115909 0.383078 1.034201 2.553663 5.731275 11.667290 22.976956
2025-02-02 0.100999 0.354603 0.999619 2.555127 5.894709 12.265211 24.617401
2025-02-09 0.085879 0.321549 0.948505 2.513126 5.964637 12.691436 25.969790
2025-02-16 0.072419 0.289680 0.894675 2.457370 5.999073 13.049731 27.214386
2025-02-23 0.063913 0.271151 0.871921 2.470981 6.180770 13.701911 29.040618
2025-03-02 0.055245 0.249508 0.837012 2.450428 6.285030 14.206184 30.610919
2025-03-09 0.050628 0.240847 0.836490 2.514467 6.581188 15.109335 32.989922
2025-03-16 0.044724 0.225616 0.814534 2.521113 6.747115 15.756769 34.902395